Multivariate statistical analysis of the factors of demographic processes in Ukraine

Abstract

Introduction. A negative natural population growth in conditions of low positive balance of migration has led to a significant population decline in Ukraine. A long-term increase in demographic load and senescence deepening are going on. The current situation needs to conduct proper state policy that will provide the necessary conditions for increasing the birth rate and reducing mortality in the country. Therefore, it is important to analyse the birth rate and estimate the influence of factors of reproductive processes and the demographic potential of the population.

Purpose. The article aims to justify the use of multi-factor index models in order to estimate the influence of factors of the demographic processes.

Method (methodology). To achieve this goal we have used general scientific methods. In particular they are the methods of analysis and synthesis, system approach. Among the specific statistical methods we can distinguish the following ones: method of relative and average values, method of index analysis, and graphical methods.

Results. Multi-factor index models have been constructed for estimating the influence of factors of changes on the birth rate of Ukrainian population during the time interval. The differentiation of this process in various types of settlements of the country has been analysed.