Statistical analysis of influence of socio-economic processes on tax revenues to the budget

Abstract

The article deals with the dependence of tax revenues on the major macroeconomic indicators. The importance of a comprehensive statistical analysis of taxation is proved. Its results form the knowledge base for the calculation of tax revenue in the future, serving as the key to the successful functioning of the economy. The evaluation of the relationship of basic indicators of regional development (volume of GRP, the number of taxpayers) and the value of tax revenue are conducted. In order to do the previous things the author has proposed to use the method of equations of statistical dependencies. Capabilities of the method of statistical equations of dependencies during the statistical analysis of the relationship between indicators are defined. The adaptation of this method is conducted with the help of calculation of univariate and multivariate equations of the relationships. Univariate equations indicate a connection between the analyzed processes, its character and resilience. The share of influence of each of the analyzed factors on the effective feature is determined with the help of multivariate equations. These results are confirmed by the actual data. It gives grounds to confirm the validity of the method of statistical dependences while conducting the statistical analysis of the relationship between indicators.